Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 69013.471378 72985.449691 76962.590297 81240.725868 85709.512335 90236.703057 95166.764882
2025-04-20 62952.965174 69049.310520 75330.181612 82275.364612 89730.433360 97482.988100 106144.867251
2025-04-27 58747.535087 66322.992384 74304.701446 83321.861638 93205.761967 103690.263960 115632.718007
2025-05-04 55208.085503 63866.266783 73162.411483 83853.822346 95777.217075 108632.453582 123506.461135
2025-05-11 52015.548042 61489.331980 71831.967734 83914.567077 97593.450585 112549.732093 130088.594012
2025-05-18 49416.623940 59571.015576 70824.121385 84155.596048 99451.053122 116383.142174 136474.119106
2025-05-25 47080.844504 57794.166465 69832.260635 84278.069012 101054.987949 119836.731486 142360.426006
2025-06-01 45568.917416 56868.527905 69725.775945 85334.160440 103660.014545 124382.094394 149467.965779
2025-06-08 43549.030922 55235.156428 68696.550675 85223.475058 104833.771329 127223.079390 154573.413730
2025-06-15 42466.169194 54655.455622 68852.627848 86459.678667 107549.222555 131834.338866 161738.573719
2025-06-22 41205.717742 53795.079454 68616.774336 87178.714060 109614.538405 135662.876670 167984.209561
2025-06-29 39715.580594 52587.033562 67902.580384 87267.912613 110883.363965 138521.443985 173070.587298
2025-07-06 38209.120183 51317.199799 67081.539595 87206.491322 111965.984202 141173.726475 177953.536681
2025-07-13 37404.796060 50893.746327 67274.450315 88368.938954 114529.005141 145609.891603 185006.386414
2025-07-20 36638.390443 50482.886117 67454.033321 89492.750850 117033.713458 149979.238313 192001.569346
2025-07-27 35661.280209 49762.040191 67210.729659 90059.757104 118831.282935 153482.193780 197953.909562
2025-08-03 34513.173968 48777.307741 66595.753187 90124.869406 119978.131684 156173.922814 202913.709710
2025-08-10 33515.536802 47953.356165 66153.625332 90380.414097 121342.251958 159122.850795 208193.648544
2025-08-17 32517.647624 47094.281158 65635.079858 90510.212214 122526.637520 161838.358036 213187.435951
2025-08-24 31993.285822 46846.937298 65893.643587 91629.070190 124963.746664 166122.724489 220156.405023
2025-08-31 30982.267492 45910.216464 65220.485000 91511.816308 125799.554799 168388.581828 224601.523893
2025-09-07 30600.052001 45814.263058 65644.305981 92821.308934 128472.228494 172981.234285 231999.200783
2025-09-14 30018.890203 45424.696498 65661.293857 93582.878941 130430.356286 176673.337478 238278.024718